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老解

现金流“缺血”的华为,如何过冬?

老解 09月04日

资深通信业人士

——《华为新一轮的“冬天”,到底有多冷?》续篇

 

上一篇分析华为当前所面临境况的文章《华为新一轮的“冬天”,到底有多冷?》发表后,收到很多评论,以支持华为、希望华为能尽快摆脱困境的声音居多。

 

当然也有不同声音的存在,比如就有评论质疑,作为一家销售额高达6千多亿的企业才不过发了240亿的债券,仅以此就看空华为未免太过武断。但正如我在文章中说到的,从1月初到8月初华为进行7次发债的密集程度是前所未有的,这反映出体量庞大的华为当下对于资金输血的渴求程度,也间接表明进入2022年后,华为的现金流压力在进一步增大...

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老解

中国5G:格局开放才能世界共享

老解 04月12日

资深通信业人士

 

在5G商用牌照发放时,工信部曾明确表态“我国将一如既往地欢迎国外企业积极参与我国5G网络建设和应用推广,共谋5G发展和创新,共同分享我国5G发展成果”。

 

但在2020年中国移动23万5G基站集采招标中,以华为、中兴为代表的国内厂商一举拿下88.54%的基站数量份额和88.88%的中标金额份额,而作为中国通信市场对外开放的象征性存在的诺基亚和爱立信,一个报价高而出局,一个只取得11.46%市场份额的结果,格外引发关注。

 

在2013年中国移动的21万TD-LTE基站4G大招标中,以华为、中兴为首,连带大唐、普天、新邮通及烽...

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Doug Young

Bottom line: The US decision to force a sale of gay dating app Grindr by its Chinese owner reflects a new environment where Washington is almost certain to veto China purchases of local firms with access to sensitive user information.

A new report on the unhinging of a Chinese purchase of US gay dating app Grindr is shedding some interesting light on how Washington sees such deals, and offers insight into how far Chinese tech firms might be allowed into the country going forward. The picture ...

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Doug Young

Bottom line: Apple will continue discounting its iPhones in China to stop its sinking market share, which could slow but not halt its decline in the face of growing competition from the likes of Huawei.

Following a break of a month, I'm returning to my writer's seat with discussion of the China outlook for tech giant Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), which has turned to a very un-Apple-like strategy of discounting its products in the world's largest smartphone market. China has been a fickle place for Ap...

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Doug Young

Bottom line: The US case against Huawei's CFO is likely to end with her release on technical grounds as part of a deal between the US and China, though the company could still face punishment for illegally selling US products to Iran.

It's a few days old by now, but I wanted to begin the new week by sharing some of my thoughts on the recent blow-up involving telecoms equipment giant Huawei's CFO, who was detained in Canada at Washington's request. At this point I mostly want to give my views ...

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Doug Young

SMARTPHONES: Huawei Takes New Look at India

Doug Young 12月03日

财新传媒英文部编辑

Bottom line: Huawei's new push into India looks like a smart and well-timed move to take advantage of the country's emerging middle class, and could help it take the global smartphone crown by the end of next year.

As it creeps up on its goal of becoming the world's largest smartphone maker, the controversial Huawei appears to finally be waking up to the potential of the fast-growing India market. That's the key takeaway from some Indian media reports last week, which quoted a company executi...

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Doug Young

HARDWARE: Is China Spying on Western Hardware?

Doug Young 10月10日

财新传媒英文部编辑

Bottom line: A Bloomberg report on Chinese government spying microchips in hardware used by Apple, Amazon and others may be flawed, but highlights the potential for such spying due to China's important place in the global supply chain.

As I return to blogging after a couple weeks absence, I wanted to weigh in on an explosive story that ran last week in Bloomberg about tiny spying chips that had been secretly loaded by China's military onto globally used motherboards. Quite a bit has happened ...

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Doug Young

SMARTPHONES: Huawei Rolls Past Apple

Doug Young 08月01日

财新传媒英文部编辑

Bottom line: Huawei could challenge Samsung for the global smartphone crown in as little as a year, though a potential Achilles heel could be the "outing" of its surging Honor brand that most may not associate with the Chinese parent.

Smartphone pioneer Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) has just reported its latest quarterly results, which means that all the data tracking firms can simultaneously release their own industry data showing the latest trends. Those trends show that Apple's sales were basically...

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Doug Young

Bottom line: A brouhaha involving Lenovo's branding as unpatriotic for not supporting homegrown technology is likely to blow over quickly, and spotlights China's continued reliance on foreign technology.

In a story that looks like a something from the McCarthy era, embattled PC maker Lenovo (HKEx: 992) has landed at the center of a controversy that's seeing it branded by some as a traitor for choosing foreign technology over a homegrown Chinese alternative. This kind of thing isn't at all tha...

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Doug Young

Bottom line: A US investigation of Huawei into possible illegal sales of US-made equipment to Iran is old news, and may be getting dredged up now to give Washington leverage in its ongoing trade frictions with China.

Some might argue that US sanctions against telecoms equipment maker ZTE (HKEx: 763; Shenzhen: 000063) are just the prelude to a much bigger story that could now be sharping up, with word that ZTE's much larger rival Huawei is being probed in a similar case. The subject at the hea...

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Doug Young

Bottom line: Foxconn's taking of the smartphone manufacturing crown from Samsung reflects the resurgence of Apple and rises of Huawei and Xiaomi, and could ultimately force other brands to use such third-party producers.

Today we'll take a step back from the usual name-brand smartphone rankings to look at a new report that shows that Taiwan's Foxconn (HKEx: 2038) is emerging as one of those "industry leaders you never heard of", quietly supporting some of the fastest-growing names. That's the...

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Doug Young

Bottom line: Skidding sales in China's oversaturated smartphone market are long overdue, and could claim Gionee as a first major victim by year-end.

The inevitable is finally happening, and China is showing signs of smartphone burnout. The latest government data is showing that first-quarter smartphone sales in China plunged 26 percent, which is one of the largest drops I can ever recall. In this case we can't really blamed the usual seasonal effect, since this is a quarterly number that incl...

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Doug Young

TELECOMS: Huawei Feasts on China Market

Doug Young 04月02日

财新传媒英文部编辑

Bottom line: Huawei's strong revenue and profit growth for 2017 are coming largely on the back of its home China market, which should continue to boost the company as Beijing aggressively pushes upcoming 5G services.

Telecoms giant Huawei is in the headlines as the new week begins, with word that the company has rekindled its profit growth in its latest reporting year. Unlike other companies, Huawei isn't publicly traded and thus isn't required to release any financials, which always means we...

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Doug Young

Bottom line: Xiaomi's taking of the India smartphone crown and attendance at a major trade show next week are aimed at boosting its profile in the run-up to its IPO. 

Hype is building in the run-up to what's likely to be one of the largest high-tech IPOs this year, with word that smartphone maker Xiaomi has snatched the India crown from a fading Samsung (Seoul: 005930) and is also making its first visit to the world's top telecoms trade show next week. Both events are important milestones for...

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Doug Young

TELECOMS: Spurned by US, Huawei Turns to UK

Doug Young 02月07日

财新传媒英文部编辑

Bottom line: Huawei's latest big financial commitment to the UK is mostly for show, but Britain could still emerge as a winner over the longer term if Huawei conducts more R&D work in its British labs.

Huawei gives $4.2 billion gift to UK

After getting the cold shoulder from the US for its smartphones, telecoms superstar Huawei is turning increasingly to Europe, and specifically to Britain, for consolation. That's the key takeaway from the latest reports that say Huawei ...

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Doug Young

Bottom line: Huawei's decision to go ahead with a US market entry for its latest high-end phone, despite collapse of a tie-up with AT&T, is likely to produce very limited results due to lack of a carrier partner.

Huawei goes solo into US

If you can't get a serious business partner, at least get a pretty face. That seems to be the message coming from a frustrated Huawei, which has announced it has signed on "Wonder Woman" star and model Gal Gadot as chief experience offic...

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Doug Young

TELECOMS: 5G Buzzes Early Into China

Doug Young 12月01日

财新传媒英文部编辑

Bottom line: A bevy of signals from Beijing indicate China will roll out 5G networks around 2020, in step with major Western markets, providing a boon for telcos, equipment sellers and Internet companies.

China gets serious on 5G

After years of watching China following years behind the West in rolling out its next-generation wireless networks, there are growing signs that the country intends to be a leader rather than a laggard with upcoming 5G service. The latest signal...

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Doug Young

Bottom line: Apple should be able to extend its return to growth in China into at least one more quarter, while Xiaomi should also be able to continue posting strong double-digit growth for the next year.

Apple returns to China growth

Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) has just released its latest quarterly results that show China is back on a growth track, quieting skeptics who had said its latest iPhone was debuting to mostly snoozes in the world's largest smartphone market. On a br...

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Doug Young

SMARTPHONES: Huawei Unseats Apple, Eyes the Cloud

Doug Young 09月11日

财新传媒英文部编辑

Bottom line: Huawei could overtake Apple as the world's second largest smartphone seller in the next 1-2 years, while it could also pose a challenge in global cloud services over the next 5 years.

Huawei takes a shot at the cloud

We'll begin the new week with a couple of items from Huawei that show how the company that began as a telecoms network builder looks set to unseat fading PC giant Lenovo (HKEx: 992) as China's global leader in consumer tech. The first of those h...

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Doug Young

Bottom line: Smartisan's new funding and plans to produce 5-6 smartphones a year look like an anomaly in the highly competitive market, and it's unlikely to survive as a standalone entity over the next 5 years.

Smartisan gets new funding

I was a bit surprised to read that a clear second-tier smartphone player, the uppity Smartisan, has received 100 million yuan ($147 million) in new funding, as we begin the latest week of summer. I haven't seen this company's name or man...

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