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Doug Young

IPOs: Inke Pops in Trading Debut, Xiaomi Bounces Back

Doug Young 07月12日

财新传媒英文部编辑

Bottom line: Live broadcasting specialists Inke and Huya should do well over the next year but could face difficulty after that as popularity of such services fades, while Xiaomi's stock gains over the last two days look like a dead-cat bounce.
Following the unimpressive debut of smartphone maker Xiaomi (HKEx: 1810) earlier this week, live streaming site Inke (HKEx: 3700) is the latest high-tech listing in the headlines with a more impressive debut in Hong Kong. This latest deal follows the US listing for Huya (NYSE: HUYA), China's first live streaming site to make an IPO, which h......
Doug Young

IPOs: Xiaomi Fizzles in Debut, But What’s Next?

Doug Young 07月09日

财新传媒英文部编辑

Bottom line: Xiaomi's stock is likely to be volatile over the next year and could move broadly downward as investors wait to see if the company's comeback has legs and it can move into higher-end products.
Smartphone maker Xiaomi (HKEx: 1810) seems to have become the proverbial lead zepplyn sinking further and further into the mire as it finally made its trading debut in Hong Kong. The company has been dogged by skepticism almost since the get-go of its blockbuster IPO, which ended this morning here in Asia with the stock's official trading debut. The question from here now be......
Doug Young
Bottom line: New listing plans by used car platform operator Uxin, EV battery maker Amperex and medical device maker Mindray should all do well, driven by strong growth potential and their leading positions in China.
The latest IPO season for Chinese firms is kicking into high gear on both sides of the Pacific, with announcement of several hot new offerings that each has a slightly different story to tell. At the head of the class is a new listing for used car platform operator Uxin, which is aiming to raise up to $500 million in New York.
That's followed by a listing plan for el......
Doug Young
Bottom line: Xiaomi is likely to quietly settle a copyright infringement lawsuit against it by Coolpad, which is opportunistically looking for some hush money before Xiaomi's IPO and can't afford a long drawn-out court battle.
In a move that smells of desperation, down-and-out smartphone maker Coolpad (HKEx: 2369) has filed a lawsuit against the up-and-coming Xiaomi. Anyone with half a brain will know the timing of this lawsuit looks quite suspicious, since Xiaomi is getting ready to make what could be this year's biggest IPO in the next month or so, likely to raise up to $20 ......
Doug Young

IPOs: Xiaomi Growth Charms, Losses Alarm

Doug Young 05月04日

财新传媒英文部编辑

Bottom line: Xiaomi is hoping to attract investors to its IPO through its recent strong revenue growth, but it could still be years before it becomes profitable due to heavy reliance on low-end, low-margin products.
Everyone is fawning over the newly released IPO prospectus from Xiaomi, the smartphone maker that is aiming to make what's likely to be the biggest listing of all time by a company from its class. Most eyes seem to be focused on the company's top line, headlined by revenue that grew 67.5 percent last year. But from my perspective, the picture isn't all that attract......
Doug Young
Bottom line: Foxconn's taking of the smartphone manufacturing crown from Samsung reflects the resurgence of Apple and rises of Huawei and Xiaomi, and could ultimately force other brands to use such third-party producers.
Today we'll take a step back from the usual name-brand smartphone rankings to look at a new report that shows that Taiwan's Foxconn (HKEx: 2038) is emerging as one of those "industry leaders you never heard of", quietly supporting some of the fastest-growing names. That's the big takeaway from the latest figures from data tracking firm IDC, ......
Doug Young
Bottom line: New listing plans by education firm Redlands and steel-trading platform Zhaogang point to lower-tech offshore IPOs taking center stage in the first half of the year until the situation for fintech candidates stabilizes.
With fintech offerings in a holding pattern, a stream of lower-tech IPOs are finding their way to market in the first few months of this year. The latest of those is education company Redlands, which has just filed to sell up to $300 million worth of stock in a New York listing. At the same time another lower-tech offering, a steel-trading platform called Zhao......
Doug Young
Bottom line: Xiaomi's taking of the India smartphone crown and attendance at a major trade show next week are aimed at boosting its profile in the run-up to its IPO. 
Hype is building in the run-up to what's likely to be one of the largest high-tech IPOs this year, with word that smartphone maker Xiaomi has snatched the India crown from a fading Samsung (Seoul: 005930) and is also making its first visit to the world's top telecoms trade show next week. Both events are important milestones for a resurgent Xiaomi, as it attempts to boost its profile for a public listing tha......
Doug Young

SMARTPHONES: Xiaomi Eyes IPO, Gets Setback in Europe

Doug Young 12月06日

财新传媒英文部编辑

Bottom line: Xiaomi's growing comeback is giving it confidence to launch an IPO plan, as its loss of a trademark case in Europe highlights renewed obstacles it will face in its global expansion.
Xiaomi eyes Hong Kong IPO
Comeback kid smartphone maker Xiaomi is in a couple of headlines as we reach the middle of the week, including one that highlights its return to growth and another that shows the obstacles it will face as it continues with its global expansion. The first headline has media reporting that Xiaomi is planning an IPO as early as next year, as its sagg......
Doug Young
Bottom line: Apple should be able to extend its return to growth in China into at least one more quarter, while Xiaomi should also be able to continue posting strong double-digit growth for the next year.
Apple returns to China growth
Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) has just released its latest quarterly results that show China is back on a growth track, quieting skeptics who had said its latest iPhone was debuting to mostly snoozes in the world's largest smartphone market. On a broader basis, IDC has also just announced its global figures for third-quarter smartphone sales, show......
Doug Young
Bottom line: Whatsapp has likely been permanently blocked in China, while Satya Nadella's visit to Xiaomi underscores Microsoft's growing ties  with the company, and Google's China AI push is mostly PR.
Whatsapp booted from China?
A couple of the big high-tech multinationals are in the headlines as we head into the next-to-last month of the year, which seems like a good opportunity to review where these companies stand heading into the second term of President Xi Jinping and also as Donald Trump gets set to make his first China visit. One of those headlines involves......
Doug Young

E-COMMERCE: JD Shops for Expansion in Thailand

Doug Young 08月24日

财新传媒英文部编辑

Bottom line:  JD.com's Thai joint venture looks like a smart move into Southeast Asia, though it shouldn't move too aggressively abroad and instead focus on becoming profitable.
JD.com tests out Thailand
China's big Internet companies have a pretty varied record for expanding abroad. At one extreme there's Alibaba (NYSE: BABA), which is using its big cash pot to buy a wide range of assets concentrated mostly in East and South Asia. Tencent (HKEx: 700) is in the middle, mostly buying strategic stakes in game-related companies, while Baidu......
Doug Young
Bottom line: Smartisan's new funding and plans to produce 5-6 smartphones a year look like an anomaly in the highly competitive market, and it's unlikely to survive as a standalone entity over the next 5 years.
Smartisan gets new funding
I was a bit surprised to read that a clear second-tier smartphone player, the uppity Smartisan, has received 100 million yuan ($147 million) in new funding, as we begin the latest week of summer. I haven't seen this company's name or many second-tier players like OnePlus in more than half a year, though their collectiv......
Doug Young
Bottom line: Xiaomi's rising market share and securing of $1 billion in new financing underscore its nascent turnaround may have some legs, even as its position remains tenuous in the cutthroat market.
Xiaomi unveils latest phone
Former smartphone sensation Xiaomi is in several headlines as we head into the close of the week, all of which seem to underscore that its nascent rebound may have some legs. But as anyone in the industry will tell you, any smartphone maker is really only as good as its last model these days, meaning fortunes can quickly turn with just one mis......
Doug Young

VIDEO: Xunlei Founder Resigns as CEO, Sale Coming?

Doug Young 06月30日

财新传媒英文部编辑

Bottom line: The resignation of Xunlei's founder as CEO, even as he retains his chairman's title, could indicate a sale is coming soon, with the most likely buyer as Xiaomi.
Big shifts happening in Xunlei boardroom
The incredible shriveling online video company Xunlei (Nasdaq: XNET) is making a tiny splash in the headlines as we head toward the weekend, with word that its founder is relinquishing his position as CEO. The move seems potentially significant, since one of the main obstacles that keeps more companies from being acquired in China is resistance by their ......
Doug Young
Bottom line: Xiaomi's adoption of Costco as its new role model and abandonment of Apple looks like a realistic move, and could better position the company to survive over the next 5 years amid a looming market shakeup.
Xiaomi eyes chic cheap image
Smartphone maker Xiaomi appears to be a company with an identity crisis, with reports that charismatic CEO Lei Jun has dumped former role model Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) in favor a new model in US bulk-item supermarket operator Cosctco (Nasdaq: CSCO). Many will probably smile at this not-so-subtle shift at......
Doug Young
Bottom line: Oppo's major new cricket sponsorship deal shows its commitment to India, but may have to be renegotiated if and when the company's fortunes decline in the next 1-2 years following its meteoric rise.
Oppo in India cricket deal
Smartphone high-flyer Oppo is trying to show the world it's serious about India, with word it will pay 1.1 billion yuan ($160 million) for rights to sponsor the nation's national cricket team. News of the deal comes just three months after China's top smartphone brand announced plans to build a production facility......
Doug Young
UPDATE: After publishing this earlier this morning, a source in Barcelona informs me that Oppo is indeed attending and is holding a press event to show off their newest products. Headline and photo caption changed to reflect Oppo's attendance, but the rest of the original post remains the same.
Bottom line: The absence of Oppo and Vivo from the world's top telecoms trade show in Spain this week reflects their overwhelming reliance on China sales, while Xiaomi's absence from the show could be a cash conservation move.
Vivo, Xiaomi absent from top telecoms trade show <......
Doug Young
Bottom line: Ofo and rival Mobike will use their hundreds of millions of dollars in new funds to buy better and more expensive bikes to flood city streets, even though neither has a sustainable business model that can justify such long-term expense.
Ofo raising $150 mln in new funds
The race for supremacy in China's fast-moving shared bicycle realm is kicking into high gear, with word that second-place Ofo is raising $150 million with an eye on achieving a $1 billion valuation. That would come just a month after sector leader Mobike raised a larger $215 ......
Doug Young
Bottom line: Xiaomi stands a better than 50 percent chance of stabilizing this year and reversing its 2-year-old decline, based on its push into brick-and-mortar retailing and positive reviews for its newest higher-end model.
Xiaomi builds up brick-and-mortar presence
Blame it on the Internet. That seems to be the message coming from Xiaomi, the smartphone maker that's in a bit of an identity crisis, trying to explain its rapid descent over the last 2 years following a meteoric rise in 2014. A couple of other reports are also saying the company is preparing to roll out......

精彩评论

陈酿老久 实朴

原文:还乡琐记:草木叩门 生活继续

吴春波H-R “乡田同井,出入相望,守望互助,疾病相持”,已成追忆。

原文:还乡琐记:草木叩门 生活继续

小胖子真不瘦 风口浪尖上的传奇人物!如果你就这样被打败,那你就真的太失败了,但是我相信你不是这种人,期待你东山再起的那天。

原文:回来吧,贾跃亭

lulud 创业英雄还是欺诈惯犯

原文:回来吧,贾跃亭

zhangmingxiao 川普执政一百多天,初见端倪

原文:商人治国成笑柄

孙越 史上有很多传奇,更有很多英雄,他们的死彰显生命的价值。

原文:对外侦察局的掏心猎手

zhangmingxiao 这个不是一起超售事件,是美联航因为内部员工需要乘坐飞机,旅客满员的情况下利用超售这个工具来达到赶下旅客的目的。

原文:美联航赶乘客下飞机 资深机长告诉你是否违规

郭杰群 在美国,地产开发商将出售资产所得在一定期限内进行类似房产的再投资可以享受一定的免税条款。这在我国当前还不具备,因此在一定程度上制约了地产商的能动性。

原文:REIT的海外发展及启示

Lypsey3543 “据个人了解,中国一线城市住宅投资收益率不会高于3,美国可以达到6。”作者这里说的应是租金收益率。首先,因(特大)人口增长加速,在新兴市场投资房产,主要看资本利得,动态租金收益要会延后实现,静态比较同期没有太大意义。其次,物业年均持有成本,纽约和中国一线城市不可比。第三,纽约和曼哈顿是两个概念。离开曼岛,租金中位数值完全是不是一个档次。而中国一线城市的租金上涨范围更大。因为仍处于成长期。总体而言,虽然在中美两国都投资的是房产,但从收益分布特征和波动率来说,完全可以看作是差别极大的两类资产。就如同高等级债券和蓝筹股票,横比收益没有意义,因为后者大幅超越。归根结底更可能是风险偏好异质性(含Demographic factors)和经济周期所处阶段决定了投资者更偏爱哪一类。

原文:2017年美国房地产市场展望——美国市场、中国视角

王争春 价格和土地供给的问题,我们慢慢谈。市场有垄断市场、寡头市场和竞争市场,定价规则自然有差异。

原文:面对房价,教科书自焚吗?经济规律笑了

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