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SMARTPHONES: Huawei Unseats Apple, Eyes the Cloud

阳歌 09月11日

财新传媒英文部编辑

Bottom line: Huawei could overtake Apple as the world's second largest smartphone seller in the next 1-2 years, while it could also pose a challenge in global cloud services over the next 5 years.
Huawei takes a shot at the cloud
We'll begin the new week with a couple of items from Huawei that show how the company that began as a telecoms network builder looks set to unseat fading PC giant Lenovo (HKEx: 992) as China's global leader in consumer tech. The first of those has one research house releasing data that show Huawei's smartphones surpassed&......
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SMARTPHONES: Lenovo Eyeing CEO Change?

阳歌 06月06日

财新传媒英文部编辑

Bottom line: Yang Yuanqing is likely to cede his CEO title at Lenovo to recently returned executive Liu Jun soon, which could be followed by more risk taking and big changes to the company's lackluster smartphone unit.
Lenovo's Yang set to cede CEO title?
I used to make fun of mobile carrier China Unicom (HKEx: 763; NYSE: CHU) for its never-ending management reshuffles, but now the more respectable Lenovo (HKEx: 992) is quickly taking that title with its own series of nonstop personnel moves in a bid to right its sputtering ship. What's interesti......
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SMARTPHONES: Oppo Lands in India Protest Storm

阳歌 03月31日

财新传媒英文部编辑

Bottom line: A mass protest against Oppo in India over a Chinese manager's desecration of the national flag won't impact the company beyond a week or two, and reflects cultural sensitivity issues Chinese firms will face as they expand abroad.
Oppo under fire in India
Smartphone high-flyer Oppo is quickly learning the road to India isn't always so smooth, with word of a mass protest at the company's local operation due to a controversy involving desecration of the Indian flag. In this case the company appears to be learning a fast lesson in cultural sen......
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SMARTPHONES: Oppo Shows India Resolve with Cricket Deal

阳歌 03月13日

财新传媒英文部编辑

Bottom line: Oppo's major new cricket sponsorship deal shows its commitment to India, but may have to be renegotiated if and when the company's fortunes decline in the next 1-2 years following its meteoric rise.
Oppo in India cricket deal
Smartphone high-flyer Oppo is trying to show the world it's serious about India, with word it will pay 1.1 billion yuan ($160 million) for rights to sponsor the nation's national cricket team. News of the deal comes just three months after China's top smartphone brand announced plans to build a production facility......
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SMARTPHONES: Xiaomi, Vivo Skip Barcelona Telecoms Bash

阳歌 02月27日

财新传媒英文部编辑

UPDATE: After publishing this earlier this morning, a source in Barcelona informs me that Oppo is indeed attending and is holding a press event to show off their newest products. Headline and photo caption changed to reflect Oppo's attendance, but the rest of the original post remains the same.
Bottom line: The absence of Oppo and Vivo from the world's top telecoms trade show in Spain this week reflects their overwhelming reliance on China sales, while Xiaomi's absence from the show could be a cash conservation move.
Vivo, Xiaomi absent from top telecoms trade show <......
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Bottom line: Lenovo could reverse its smartphone decline this year under a new leadership team anchored by a respected company veteran, though chances of success are relatively low due to stiff competition and magnitude of the task.
Lenovo nets former Samsung smartphone exec
My first post in the new lunar Year of the Rooster seems like a good time to look at the ultra-competitive smartphone market, and what may lie ahead for the embattled Lenovo (HKEx: 992) as it seeks to regain its footing in the space. CEO Yang Yuanqing has made repeated overhauls of his mobile devi......
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Bottom line: Chinese smartphone brands with local production are most likely to survive upcoming price wars they are exporting to India, while Nokia's new smartphones are unlikely to make any inroads in China over the next 2-3 years. 
China exports smartphone price wars to India
A case of deja vu is rapidly shaping up in India, where Chinese smartphone makers have flocked over the last two years in search of growth outside their overheated home market. In this case media are reporting that Chinese brands have surged to take half of the Indian market by dumping millions......
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SMARTPHONES: Two Losers Unite in BlackBerry, TCL Alliance

阳歌 12月16日

财新传媒英文部编辑

Bottom line: TCL's new licensing deal with BlackBerry will end up as a quiet failure due to TCL's weak R&D skills and lack of consumer appeal to the BlackBerry name.  
TCL, BlackBerry in licensing tie-up
When does adding two negatives yield a positive? The answer is "never", but dying smartphone makers BlackBerry (Toronto: BB) and TCL (Shenzhen: 000100) are hoping that maybe this time will be different. Of course, it's easy for me to predict disaster for this particular new alliance, and I'd be much bolder if I said this pa......
吴迪

中国疯狂购买海外农田的阳谋

吴迪 01月04日

知名独立经济学家

2011年我写了篇专栏文章【粮食的危与机】评论当时联想集团的农业方面的重大部署。文章指出:“在这个粮食稀缺的时代,我们的企业如何确保世界粮食大国对我们的供应,这需要开展粮食外交;如何确保我们的亩产量稳步提高,这需要在化肥等生产要素生产方式环节加大研发力度;如何克服我国在土地和水资源上的不足,这需要我们把农业向非洲南美洲这些地区拓展,结合他们的资源优势和我们的资本优势。粮食危机是柄双刃剑,控制不好会严重威胁社会的稳定和发展,经营的好则会把最古老传统的一个行业打造成一个高附加值的全球产业链。”
最近看了几个研究报告,发现自己很多的预判都印证了,尤其是“克服我国在土地和水资源上的不足,......
吴迪

小米和中国制造的专利烦恼

吴迪 12月26日

知名独立经济学家

【为什么小米会毁了中国制造】一文发表以后引起了极大的轰动,一方面是到处被人各种抄袭--不经过我的同意转载,把我的文章改成自己的名字,一方面是遭到各种谩骂。许多人骂我是黑小米,是华为的托,云云。文章发表后不久,国内很多媒体开始抨击小米的互联网思维泡沫和在专利方面的不思进取,这其中就有人民日报。再后来传出华为和中兴要在国内对小米发起专利诉讼,紧接着小米在印度遭遇爱立信的专利诉讼,被禁售。这个时候,大家才知道我对小米的预言并不是危言耸听,我不是黑小米,我是想给他敲警钟,让他觉醒。所谓良苦用心。因为【为什么小米会毁了中国制造】流传甚广,影响很大,新华社的瞭望周刊在小米被印度禁售后,对我进行了长达三个小时......
吴迪

联想和小米:中国制造的末路狂花

吴迪 12月01日

知名独立经济学家

彼得·泰尔的新书《从无到有》很火,书出版后,笔者看了关于他的采访文章,他有一个反复提及的观点让我很惊讶,那就是过去这二三十年美国的科技创新几乎止步不前。美国可是全球创新科技的摇篮啊,泰尔何出此言?这让山寨大国的我们情何以堪?
最近泰尔在Washington Ideas Forum接受采访时解释说,他的意思是指硅谷这些年确实搞了很多创新,但都是微创新,几乎没有出现能够产生革命性变化的破坏性创新。现在挣大钱的都是搞微创新的,比如facebook,twitter,whatspp,而致力于搞破坏性创新的,比如Tesla这样的都在亏钱。说到微创新,笔者觉得中国才是微创新的红海,其首推腾讯了。泰尔说出这么有忧患意识的话,是因为知识经济是美国的立国......
吴迪

PC虽然完了,但联想将君临天下

吴迪 05月23日

知名独立经济学家

(联想君领天下了)
IDC(国际数据公司)4月中公布统计数据,今年第1季度全球PC市场出现了自1994年以来最大的单季度下滑,出货量下降13.9%,在平板电脑和智能手机为王的时代,中国PC巨子联想还有未来吗?IDC数据一出,联想的股价便开始走弱,一度跌至半年来的低位6.45元。之后,联想靠收购IBM服务器业务传闻带动,股价收复失地,回升至7元以上水平。
虽然全球PC市场难掩颓势,但联想5月23日公布的2012--2013年度财务报告【Journey from PC to PC+】却揭示了一个非常乐观的未来:联想第四季收入79.74亿美元,按季下跌14.8%,按年上升6.4%;纯利有1.07亿美元,按季大减46.5%,按年急升58.9%;全年收入341.03亿美元,......

精彩评论

陈酿老久 实朴

原文:还乡琐记:草木叩门 生活继续

吴春波H-R “乡田同井,出入相望,守望互助,疾病相持”,已成追忆。

原文:还乡琐记:草木叩门 生活继续

小胖子真不瘦 风口浪尖上的传奇人物!如果你就这样被打败,那你就真的太失败了,但是我相信你不是这种人,期待你东山再起的那天。

原文:回来吧,贾跃亭

lulud 创业英雄还是欺诈惯犯

原文:回来吧,贾跃亭

zhangmingxiao 川普执政一百多天,初见端倪

原文:商人治国成笑柄

孙越 史上有很多传奇,更有很多英雄,他们的死彰显生命的价值。

原文:对外侦察局的掏心猎手

zhangmingxiao 这个不是一起超售事件,是美联航因为内部员工需要乘坐飞机,旅客满员的情况下利用超售这个工具来达到赶下旅客的目的。

原文:美联航赶乘客下飞机 资深机长告诉你是否违规

郭杰群 在美国,地产开发商将出售资产所得在一定期限内进行类似房产的再投资可以享受一定的免税条款。这在我国当前还不具备,因此在一定程度上制约了地产商的能动性。

原文:REIT的海外发展及启示

Lypsey3543 “据个人了解,中国一线城市住宅投资收益率不会高于3,美国可以达到6。”作者这里说的应是租金收益率。首先,因(特大)人口增长加速,在新兴市场投资房产,主要看资本利得,动态租金收益要会延后实现,静态比较同期没有太大意义。其次,物业年均持有成本,纽约和中国一线城市不可比。第三,纽约和曼哈顿是两个概念。离开曼岛,租金中位数值完全是不是一个档次。而中国一线城市的租金上涨范围更大。因为仍处于成长期。总体而言,虽然在中美两国都投资的是房产,但从收益分布特征和波动率来说,完全可以看作是差别极大的两类资产。就如同高等级债券和蓝筹股票,横比收益没有意义,因为后者大幅超越。归根结底更可能是风险偏好异质性(含Demographic factors)和经济周期所处阶段决定了投资者更偏爱哪一类。

原文:2017年美国房地产市场展望——美国市场、中国视角

王争春 价格和土地供给的问题,我们慢慢谈。市场有垄断市场、寡头市场和竞争市场,定价规则自然有差异。

原文:面对房价,教科书自焚吗?经济规律笑了

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